Nigel Farage describes his Reform UK party as a distinctive force that has surged onto the global scene, its rapid ascent framed as an unparalleled political shift. Yet this week, across Europe’s largest nations and from India and Thailand to the US and Argentina, similar hard-right movements—opposing immigration and globalization—are gaining ground in polls.
In last weekend’s Czech elections, the right-wing, pro-Putin populist Andrej Babiš unseated Prime Minister Petr Fiala. France’s National Rally, having recently forced another prime minister’s resignation, leads polling for both the presidency and parliament. In Germany, the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) is now the most popular party. Hungary’s Fidesz, Robert Fico’s pro-Russian Slovak coalition, and Italy’s Brothers of Italy already hold power, while Austria’s FPÖ, the Netherlands’ PVV, and Belgium’s Vlaams Belang—all staunch nationalists—form part of a broader alliance against internationalism, influenced by far-right figures like Steve Bannon. These groups aim to undermine global legal norms, weaken human rights, and dismantle multilateral cooperation.
This nationalist wave reveals an undeniable reality that democratic forces overlook at their own risk: authoritarian ethnic nationalism—once believed to have collapsed with the Berlin Wall—has supplanted neoliberalism as the era’s dominant ideology. It fosters a world of “nation-first” policies, from “America first” to “India first,” often prioritizing exclusivity over cooperation. This ideology explains why the global balance now tilts toward 91 autocracies compared to 88 democracies, and why violations of international human rights law persist, not just in Russia’s war on Ukraine but in nearly all of the world’s 59 ongoing border conflicts and civil wars.
Understanding the shared drivers behind this nationalist resurgence is critical. Central to it is a widespread belief that globalization, though open, failed to be equitable—a system that left many feeling excluded.
For years, leaders have been slow to address both the grievances of those left behind and the shifting dynamics of global power, transitioning from a US-dominated unipolar world to a multipolar contest of superpowers, and from rules-based governance to might-based competition. The resulting ethnic nationalism has spurred protectionism over free trade. Where economics once steered politics, nationalist rhetoric now dictates economic choices, with over 100 nations adopting mercantilist policies—reshoring production, limiting trade with rivals, and restricting cross-border investment and technology flows. This has driven international cooperation to its weakest point since 1945.
Read next

"Embracing solo travel: Women break tradition to holiday alone"
A few weeks ago, I received an invitation for a press trip I would never consider. It involved a long flight and centered around fitness, meaning it would require a lot of physical activity and early mornings. Even if I were fond of such things, spending a week with others

"Tony Blair’s relentless penchant for meddling in the Middle East persists"
“There are two types of politician,” Tony Blair noted in 2012. “Those who shape reality and those who manage it.” He argued that while postwar politics mostly involved steady governance, the changing world demanded more imagination, “both in economic and international affairs.” Only a certain kind of forward-thinking leader, he

"Grovelling to Trump brings ruin—will Starmer realize in time?"
Courting Donald Trump seldom yields lasting rewards. Narendra Modi is the most recent leader to face this harsh reality. The Indian prime minister, known for his strong-handed rule, believed he had won over the ever-changing affections of his "true friend" in Washington. Their camaraderie peaked in 2019 when