The coming month is expected to be chaotic for carriers serving the Middle East, as passengers stranded in key transfer airports are gradually redirected and sent home following several days of unrest linked to the persisting war in Iran.
Analysts note that airlines are accustomed to disturbances, maintaining dedicated units for so‑called irregular operations. Yet, although small setbacks can be cleared within a few days, the vast magnitude of the regional aviation network presents a tangled challenge that will require considerably more time to resolve.
Dubai International Airport ranks among the globe’s busiest, handling over 95 million travelers in 2025. Doha’s Hamad Airport processed more than 54 million. Both facilities have remained closed for several days.
John Cox, an aviation specialist and former airline captain with upwards of 14,000 flight hours, explained that protocols exist for handling flight‑plan interruptions. Staff work covertly to locate aircraft, assemble crews, ensure required servicing, and ultimately get passengers moving again.
“This such events are not unheard of; the magnitude is what sets this apart,” Cox remarked.
The ex‑pilot cited U.S. examples, where weather phenomena like blizzards routinely shut down large airports for two or three days. Operations hubs then function around the clock for several days, “rebuilding the airlines” to restore normalcy.
“Following a two‑ or three‑day snowstorm, it typically requires four or five days to resume standard service,” he noted. “Nevertheless, within roughly 48 hours most of the system can be reassembled, allowing passenger movement to restart and destinations to be reached.”
The Middle Eastern scenario, however, proves far more intricate. Air travel demand is at a peak, and aircraft often operate with minimal spare capacity even under normal conditions.
“We’re referring to Abu Dhabi, Doha and Dubai—key global hubs hosting carriers that link Europe with Asia,” Cox observed, noting that many passengers were in those cities solely to connect through sizable terminals. Travelers now find themselves stranded on either side of the region with few avenues to reach their homes.
A handful of services have resumed, transporting some of the stranded travelers, though conditions may shift abruptly. An Emirates aircraft departed Wednesday morning, marking the first Dubai‑Sydney flight since Saturday. The carrier now operates a reduced schedule to address the accumulated backlog.
Qantas plans a Perth‑to‑London service, normally nonstop, now incorporating a brief refuelling stop in Singapore. This adjustment permits roughly 60 additional seats. The airline may maintain this arrangement for the near term to alleviate the backlog.
Other airlines in the region, including Qatar Airways and Etihad, remain suspended.
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